# Herbie Bradley

Markdown copy of https://realalpha.app/people/herbie-bradley/ on Real Alpha, the best minutes from long interviews with the people building AI. Cite and link the page, not this copy.

Real Alpha has cut 6 moments of Herbie Bradley (AI Researcher & Writer) talking, from an interview on MTS published Nov 7, 2026.

- Role: AI Researcher & Writer

## What Herbie Bradley said

- [Fast takeoff remains a low-probability scenario](https://realalpha.app/s/fast-takeoff-remains-a-low-probability-scenario/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 5 min
  > “I have always kind of viewed the very fast takeoff scenarios as like a small probability shape or scenario or piece of the possibility space.” — Herbie Bradley · [2:35](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=155)
- [Enterprise AI gains depend on changing workflows](https://realalpha.app/s/enterprise-ai-gains-depend-on-changing-workflows/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 4 min
  > “the atomic unit of productivity in a large enterprise is not really the individual. It's sort of the workflow level.” — Herbie Bradley · [18:54](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=1134)
- [Anthropic’s RSI threshold is not a full acceleration loop](https://realalpha.app/s/anthropics-rsi-threshold-is-not-a-full-acceleration-loop/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 4 min
  > “it translates into r of around 0.5 if you have some scale where like r equals one is a fully self-sustaining acceleration loop” — Herbie Bradley · [23:33](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=1413)
- [Realistic AI evals require extensive data work](https://realalpha.app/s/realistic-ai-evals-require-extensive-data-work/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 3 min
  > “They put in months of effort, and still there's flaws in this benchmark, undoubtedly, but it's one of the closest that I've seen to good effort.” — Herbie Bradley · [6:33](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=393)
- [Benchmark gains can diverge from real-world utility](https://realalpha.app/s/benchmark-gains-can-diverge-from-real-world-utility/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 3 min
  > “doctors' subjective experience of how good models are at diagnosing medical cases to be that the models have not improved a huge amount often in the last nine months.” — Herbie Bradley · [13:05](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=785)
- [AI demand could grow sharply through diffusion alone](https://realalpha.app/s/ai-demand-could-grow-sharply-through-diffusion-alone/)
  MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 2 min
  > “And so demand could easily, you know, 10x, 100x from here just with current capabilities.” — Herbie Bradley · [16:13](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/?t=973)

## The episode

- [Anthropic Sees Imminent RSI Acceleration | Herbie Bradley](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/) · MTS · Nov 7, 2026