# Are self-driving cars safe?

Markdown copy of https://realalpha.app/q/are-self-driving-cars-safe/ on Real Alpha, the best minutes from long interviews with the people building AI. Cite and link the page, not this copy.

[All questions](https://realalpha.app/q/)

Question

3 of the 6 people who answered it say they’re safer than people and 3 say they’re not ready.

From the long interviews we cut, December 2024 to November 2026. Each person counts once, by their newest answer. 6 moments, updated Nov 9, 2026.

Sundar Pichai said on Sources (Oct 21, 2026) that self-driving cars have 95% fewer serious crashes than regular driving. Kyle Vogt said on No Priors (Feb 20, 2025) that a driverless taxi needs superhuman safety performance before it can be offered as a product.

## Where they stand

- Safer than people 3
  - Sundar Pichai
  - Elon Musk
  - Marc Andreessen
- Not yet 3
  - Brandon Basso
  - Ed Zitron
  - Kyle Vogt

## Cite this count

Of the 6 people who answered "Are self-driving cars safe?" in the long interviews Real Alpha cut from December 2024 to November 2026, 3 say they’re safer than people and 3 say they’re not ready (Real Alpha, Nov 9, 2026, https://realalpha.app/q/are-self-driving-cars-safe/).

[Every answer as CSV](https://realalpha.app/questions.csv)

Who said it, which side, the show, the date and the link to the moment, for every big question. Free to reuse with credit (CC BY 4.0).

## Safer than people 3 moments

1. Sources · Oct 21, 2026 · 3 min
   **[Waymo is scaling through partnerships and broader deployments](https://realalpha.app/s/waymo-is-scaling-through-partnerships-and-broader/)**
   > “already driving with 95% fewer serious crashes compared to, you know, regular driving.”
   [Sundar Pichai](https://realalpha.app/builders/sundar-pichai/) CEO, Google and Alphabet [49:24](https://realalpha.app/v/fJBSNEFdm8c/#t=2964)
2. All-In · Sep 10, 2025 · 5 min
   **[AI5 targets a 40x gain on an AI4 bottleneck](https://realalpha.app/s/ai5-targets-a-40x-gain-on-an-ai4-bottleneck/)**
   > “By some metrics, the improvement in AI5 will be 40 times better than AI4.”
   [Elon Musk](https://realalpha.app/builders/elon-musk/) CEO, SpaceX & Tesla; founder, xAI [13:23](https://realalpha.app/v/qeZqZBRA-6Q/#t=803)
3. Modern Wisdom · Dec 14, 2024 · 5 min
   **[Self-driving cars can be safer before they are perfect](https://realalpha.app/s/self-driving-cars-can-be-safer-before-they-are-perfect/)**
   > “we have gotten used to a very large amount of carnage in return for the convenience of modern transportation and logistics.”
   [Marc Andreessen](https://realalpha.app/people/marc-andreessen/) Co-founder, Andreessen Horowitz [1:03:40](https://realalpha.app/v/gn9YZP_Zm50/#t=3820)

## Not yet 3 moments

1. MTS · Nov 8, 2026 · 3 min
   **[Wayve expects a shift toward eyes-off driving by 2028](https://realalpha.app/s/wayve-expects-a-shift-toward-eyes-off-driving-by-2028/)**
   > “I think there's going to be a big shift in 2027 into 2028”
   [Brandon Basso](https://realalpha.app/people/brandon-basso/) Head of Simulation & Validation, Wayve [16:53](https://realalpha.app/v/XEJtFxyWlXk/#t=1013)
2. The Diary Of A CEO · Aug 27, 2026 · 7 min
   **[AI has not produced broad white-collar job losses](https://realalpha.app/s/ai-has-not-produced-broad-white-collar-job-losses/)**
   > “work-wise, are art directors. It's people, art directors, transcribers, translators, who have bosses that don't care about the output.”
   [Ed Zitron](https://realalpha.app/people/ed-zitron/) Founder & CEO, EZPR [1:06:31](https://realalpha.app/v/Lf5oqGOCRCM/#t=3991)
3. No Priors · Feb 20, 2025 · 3 min
   **[Home robots can launch with narrower functionality than robotaxis](https://realalpha.app/s/home-robots-can-launch-with-narrower-functionality-than/)**
   > “for a driverless robo-taxi, you basically have no product until it achieves superhuman safety performance.”
   [Kyle Vogt](https://realalpha.app/builders/kyle-vogt/) CEO, The Bot Company [15:36](https://realalpha.app/v/6sDWmz3wQ9w/#t=936)

Each moment is a few minutes of a long interview, cut by Real Alpha and filed under how it answers by a model that read its claim and quote. Each person counts once, on the side of their newest answer, so a side can have more moments than people. Open a moment for its full transcript. Last moment added Nov 9, 2026.