# Is AI overhyped?

Markdown copy of https://realalpha.app/q/is-ai-overhyped/ on Real Alpha, the best minutes from long interviews with the people building AI. Cite and link the page, not this copy.

[All questions](https://realalpha.app/q/)

Question

All 9 people who answered it say it’s overhyped.

From the long interviews we cut, April 2025 to November 2026. Each person counts once, by their newest answer. 11 moments, updated Nov 7, 2026.

Diogo Almeida said on The MAD Podcast (Oct 15, 2026) that people can overestimate AI’s reliability for automation because polished responses hide errors. Jeremy Howard said on Machine Learning Street Talk (Mar 3, 2026) that AI coding hype exceeds its small gains in shipped work.

## Where they stand

- Overhyped 9
  - Herbie Bradley
  - Diogo Almeida
  - Ed Zitron ×2
  - Shiv Rao
  - Jeremy Howard
  - Gil Luria ×2
  - Marc Benioff
  - Sam Altman
  - +1 more

## Cite this count

Of the 9 people who answered "Is AI overhyped?" in the long interviews Real Alpha cut from April 2025 to November 2026, all say it’s overhyped (Real Alpha, Nov 7, 2026, https://realalpha.app/q/is-ai-overhyped/).

[Every answer as CSV](https://realalpha.app/questions.csv)

Who said it, which side, the show, the date and the link to the moment, for every big question. Free to reuse with credit (CC BY 4.0).

## Overhyped 11 moments

1. MTS · Nov 7, 2026 · 3 min
   **[Benchmark gains can diverge from real-world utility](https://realalpha.app/s/benchmark-gains-can-diverge-from-real-world-utility/)**
   > “doctors' subjective experience of how good models are at diagnosing medical cases to be that the models have not improved a huge amount often in the last nine months.”
   [Herbie Bradley](https://realalpha.app/people/herbie-bradley/) AI Researcher & Writer [13:05](https://realalpha.app/v/YTD1_ei9M1M/#t=785)
2. The MAD Podcast · Oct 15, 2026 · 7 min
   **[RLHF made models pleasing, but raised automation expectations](https://realalpha.app/s/rlhf-made-models-pleasing-but-raised-automation-expectations/)**
   > “The root of the problem to me is that RLHF actually greatly increased expectations.”
   [Diogo Almeida](https://realalpha.app/builders/diogo-almeida/) CEO, TypeSafe [33:27](https://realalpha.app/v/9YsM1LPPz-A/#t=2007)
3. The Diary Of A CEO · Aug 27, 2026 · 7 min
   **[AI has not produced broad white-collar job losses](https://realalpha.app/s/ai-has-not-produced-broad-white-collar-job-losses/)**
   > “work-wise, are art directors. It's people, art directors, transcribers, translators, who have bosses that don't care about the output.”
   [Ed Zitron](https://realalpha.app/people/ed-zitron/) Founder & CEO, EZPR [1:06:31](https://realalpha.app/v/Lf5oqGOCRCM/#t=3991)
4. The Diary Of A CEO · Aug 27, 2026 · 7 min
   **[AI capability gains are hitting practical limits](https://realalpha.app/s/ai-capability-gains-are-hitting-practical-limits/)**
   > “the promises do not line up with the capabilities or the capability improvements.”
   [Ed Zitron](https://realalpha.app/people/ed-zitron/) Founder & CEO, EZPR [1:40:01](https://realalpha.app/v/Lf5oqGOCRCM/#t=6001)
5. Upstarts · Jul 23, 2026 · 2 min
   **[IBM Watson lost trust by promising more than it could deliver](https://realalpha.app/s/ibm-watson-lost-trust-by-promising-more-than-it-could/)**
   > “they just got so far ahead of their skis in terms of what they were saying they could do”
   [Shiv Rao](https://realalpha.app/builders/shiv-rao/) CEO, Abridge [21:29](https://realalpha.app/v/W4_aRWsHogM/#t=1289)
6. Machine Learning Street Talk · Mar 3, 2026 · 3 min
   **[AI coding can reward the feeling of progress more than shipped work](https://realalpha.app/s/ai-coding-can-reward-the-feeling-of-progress-more-than/)**
   > “you know you can get to craft your prompt and your list of mcps and your skills and whatever and then but in the end you pull the lever right”
   [Jeremy Howard](https://realalpha.app/builders/jeremy-howard/) Co-founder, fast.ai [48:50](https://realalpha.app/v/dHBEQ-Ryo24/#t=2930)
7. Prof G Markets · Feb 26, 2026 · 4 min
   **[Nvidia’s results show continued visibility into AI demand](https://realalpha.app/s/nvidias-results-show-continued-visibility-into-ai-demand/)**
   > “The other level of anxiety is the exact opposite. Oh my goodness, AI is so potent, it's going to run us over.”
   [Gil Luria](https://realalpha.app/people/gil-luria/) Head of Technology Research, D.A. Davidson [3:48](https://realalpha.app/v/q_vMpbXnHzk/#t=228)
8. Prof G Markets · Feb 26, 2026 · 6 min
   **[Salesforce is slowing for reasons beyond AI](https://realalpha.app/s/salesforce-is-slowing-for-reasons-beyond-ai/)**
   > “Shareholders only get cash flows. The value of a company is only the value of their future cash flows.”
   [Gil Luria](https://realalpha.app/people/gil-luria/) Head of Technology Research, D.A. Davidson [12:12](https://realalpha.app/v/q_vMpbXnHzk/#t=732)
9. The Logan Bartlett Show · Aug 29, 2025 · 3 min
   **[Today’s LLMs are powerful but limited by finite data and algorithms](https://realalpha.app/s/todays-llms-are-powerful-but-limited-by-finite-data-and/)**
   > “we forget these large language models these are relatively finite algorithm sets with regular relatively finite data sets and those two things provide you some functionality but not all functionality”
   [Marc Benioff](https://realalpha.app/builders/marc-benioff/) Co-founder & CEO, Salesforce [39:08](https://realalpha.app/v/0RkNkGihrvc/#t=2348)
10. Uncapped · Jun 17, 2025 · 4 min
    **[Superintelligence may not make society feel different](https://realalpha.app/s/superintelligence-may-not-make-society-feel-different/)**
    > “somehow it's that we build legitimate super intelligence and it doesn't make the world much better it doesn't change things as much as it sounds like it should”
    [Sam Altman](https://realalpha.app/builders/sam-altman/) CEO, OpenAI [9:07](https://realalpha.app/v/mZUG0pr5hBo/#t=547)
11. Lex Fridman Podcast · Apr 30, 2025 · 7 min
    **[Game engines can supply context AI video lacks](https://realalpha.app/s/game-engines-can-supply-context-ai-video-lacks/)**
    > “I think a lot of people in the industry are overly optimistic about the rate of progress of AI for video and other things like that.”
    [Tim Sweeney](https://realalpha.app/people/tim-sweeney/) Founder & CEO, Epic Games [1:55:13](https://realalpha.app/v/477qF6QNSvc/#t=6913)

Each moment is a few minutes of a long interview, cut by Real Alpha and filed under how it answers by a model that read its claim and quote. Each person counts once, on the side of their newest answer, so a side can have more moments than people. Open a moment for its full transcript. Last moment added Nov 7, 2026.