All questions
Question
When will we get AGI?
Of the 5 moments we cut that answer this, 4 say it is further off and one says it comes within a few years. Demis Hassabis said on Big Technology Podcast (Jan 23, 2026) that AGI may be five to ten years away, with creativity, physical intelligence, and world models still needed. Elon Musk said on All-In (Sep 10, 2025) that AI may surpass individual humans next year and all humans combined by 2030.
Where they stand
Further off4
Long reasoning is advancing, but original discovery remains hard
“The biggest and most important thing that has occurred in the last year is the arrival of long reasoning, deep reasoning.”
Eric SchmidtCEO, Relativity Space16:43 AGI requires creativity, physical skills and world models
“My definition of that is a system that can exhibit all the cognitive capabilities humans can.”
Demis HassabisCEO, Google DeepMind7:03 Continual learning remains a key unsolved capability
“we would love them to learn, you know, out in the wild and including things like personalization.”
Demis HassabisCEO, Google DeepMind5:45 AGI's bottleneck may be understanding, not compute
“In fact, I think we have far more computing power than we need for AGI. Maybe a thousand times more than we need.”
Stuart RussellComputer Science Professor, UC Berkeley14:15
Within a few years1
Musk expects AI to surpass human intelligence within five years
“like say for argument's sake, like 10x more compute will double the intelligence.”
Elon MuskCEO, SpaceX & Tesla; founder, xAI29:43
Each moment is a few minutes of a long interview, cut by Real Alpha and filed under how it answers by a model that read its claim and quote. Open a moment for its full transcript. Last moment added Oct 24, 2026.