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TRIGGERnometry · 3 min · Oct 24, 2026
Why Francis Foster says Iran’s geography makes the war unworkable
Francis Foster says a former special-forces officer told him the Iran operation would not work on geographic grounds. He says that explanation informed his own opposition.
Francis Foster, Host

Konstantin Kisin, Host
About this segment
Francis Foster says a former special-forces officer told him the Iran operation would not work on geographic grounds. He says that explanation informed his own opposition.
From “Dave Smith vs. TRIGGERnometry 2”, Oct 24, 2026. Watch the full episode
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“I've just spoken to someone who's ex-SAS for about 10 years and he's just broken it down in five minutes.”
Francis Fosterat 15:29 · TRIGGERnometry15:29Takeaways
- Foster says an ex-special-forces contact judged the operation unworkable.
- He says the geographic explanation took five minutes to make clear.
- He cites that conversation as a pragmatic reason for opposing the war.
In this episode
Full episode- 19:51Why Dave Smith sees the Iran war as a costly choicePro pick 8:35
- 1:28:27Why Dave Smith links housing costs to currency debasementPro pick 8:26
15:00Why Francis Foster says Iran’s geography makes the war unworkable3:17
- 57:29Why Dave Smith holds Trump responsible alongside war advocates7:18Up next
- 1:09:14How Dave Smith says Trump took control of the Republican Party3:15
Transcript
Transcribed by machine (Whisper) from the episode’s audio, so a word may be off here and there.
- 15:13
I also think as well, if you look at the Iran, one of the main reasons that I was behind it, was against it, sorry, the second one is pure pragmatism. I was talking to a guy who's ex-special forces and I said to him, what do you think? And he went, look, this isn't going to work. Let's take everything out purely on a geographical level. It's not going to work. And so then you have people going, oh, it is going to work and this is what we should do. And you go, my man, you've never been in the military. You've never fired a gun. I've just spoken to someone who's ex-SAS for about 10 years and he's just broken it down in five minutes. So an idiot like me can understand.
- 15:49
As you're saying this, I was literally laughing because I'm just remembering when you guys had what's-her-name on the show? And she really doesn't like me. I'm not trying to, like, bash her or anything, but it was just a funny moment. The Iranian expat lady who I've debated on Pierce Morgan before. And you had her on the show, and I literally felt... She was, like, making her case for the war, and I feel like you guys just broke her by...
- 16:09
After she said everything, you just went... You know, like, it was just like... Like, she just goes, Rezaf Ali has an army of two million people, and you were like, and what's your source on that? And she goes, his office, and you're like... you know like and that just kind of made the whole thing fall apart i'll tell you this has been shocking to me through this forget the 12-day war this latest war in iran uh i've seen this from both the the kind of arch neo-conservatives who are still alive like uh what's his name um not i keep wanting to say bill crystal but not bill crystal um the other one the other neo-conservative who's that pod hearts um they were saying this on their podcast hey you guys we don't support this war this is crazy yes we've been advocating for war in iran for for 25 years but like no not like
- 16:52
this this logistically doesn't make sense i recently debated alan dershowitz on the war the topic of the debate was the war six months in and he just refused to debate this war he just goes no in theory i'm for and you're like to a certain point no matter what you're for in theory you gotta deal with the logistics eventually if you're trying to put something into policy and it has been shocking i mean i gotta say man i think because it's donald trump he's such a unique president in a lot of ways it's also like i mean if donald trump is not being honest it's like you know it's donald trump obviously he's gonna you know but this war it's it's unlike any of the ones i've ever seen not in terms of a humanitarian catastrophe so far but just in terms of how incoherent the sales pitch has been from the very beginning like there was just never
- 17:43
any plan. It was always, like, these crazy announcements, like, regime change, total surrender, people take over the government, straight to open, all the nuclear dust, like, all these things. Like, how are you going to accomplish any of this? Never. It's never been clear that there was a strategy. The American Revolution wasn't just a row about taxes. It was an argument about who gets to govern, where our rights come from, and what government is