Question
When will humanoid robots be useful?
Of the 5 moments we cut that answer this, 4 say factories first, homes later and one says within a few years. Josh Gao said on Training Data (Oct 20, 2026) that constrained commercial tasks become useful before robots reach general-purpose capability, as in-domain data closes reliability gaps. Roman Yampolskiy said on The Diary Of A CEO (Sep 4, 2025) that humanoid robots could handle physical work by 2030.
Where they stand
Factories first, homes later4
Robotics can unlock commercial tasks before reaching generality
“So relatively, we're still many orders of magnitudes away from where we have to be, ultimately.”
Josh GaoFounder & CEO, Mecka AI20:00 Constrained jobs will come before household robots
“Laundry folding, we spent about a year and a half plus trying to solve. And I think it will absolutely get solved in your term.”
Josh GaoFounder & CEO, Mecka AI22:59 Figure replaced brittle robot code with neural networks
“the robot that started the first day at the start of six months and the robot that ended the shift that day was the same”
Brett AdcockFounder & CEO, Figure1:12:38 Factories offer a simpler first market than homes
“can you put a robot into your home today and do the five hours of work you need without ever seeing your home before.”
Brett AdcockFounder & CEO, Figure1:27:12
Within a few years1
Humanoid robots could automate physical work by 2030
“our world will look remarkably different when humanoid robots are functional and effective”
Roman YampolskiyAssociate professor & director of Cyber Security Lab, University of Louisville23:00
Each moment is a few minutes of a long interview, cut by Real Alpha and filed under how it answers by a model that read its claim and quote. Open a moment for its full transcript. Last moment added Oct 24, 2026.