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Matthew Harris
Partner, Bain Capital Ventures
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Real Alpha has cut 8 moments of Matthew Harris (Partner, Bain Capital Ventures) talking, from an interview on How I Invest published Oct 26, 2026.
What Matthew Harris said
Anthropic at $2 Trillion? The AI Bubble, and Why the Best Startups Always Look Overvalued
8 moments · 38 min
- 1:58
Valuation discipline can make venture firms miss power-law winners Pro pick
“you will systematically miss the power law companies on average.”
at 4:30 - 17:35
AI labs may avoid competing with their biggest customers
“And our view, probabilistically, is that that will inhibit them in starting their own law firm.”
at 18:55 - 32:44
Anthropic's growth could support its reported $2 trillion valuation
“If that growth rate can continue or anything like it can continue, they will grow into and through that valuation in a very reasonable period of time.”
at 33:37 - 11:53
Bain's AI strategy centers on robotics and AI-native services
“And when we incubate companies, we don't take any common stock. We just put money in. We recruit a founder and then we give them all the common stock.”
at 16:51 - 8:51
AI market leadership can shift despite consensus investing
“And not for love or money would they invest in anyone who's not already anointed in the winner's circle.”
at 9:11 - 27:59
OpenAI's open Codex strategy could win the application layer
“I think it's genius, actually, and I think they're still going to sell a lot of OpenAI tokens into codex”
at 30:42 - 52:38
Steady venture pacing helps limit cycle-driven risk
“I do know from our perspective, we try to keep pacing even. So we invest the same amount 500,000,000 a year.”
at 55:48 - 39:48
AI agents could expand the market beyond human users
“And at a certain point, increasingly in our companies, there aren't even human users of AI. There are just agents doing stuff.”
at 39:55
- 1:58